Description
The impacts of climate change are felt in almost all parts of the globe. Agriculture is very sensitive sector to climate change due to the direct dependence on climatic factors. Environment and climatic variations are intimately related to sustainable development. The Environment protection agency (EPA) divided Khyber Pakhtunkhwa into four zones. Chiral belongs to Zone A, Mansehra belongs to zone B, Nowshera belongs to zone C and North Waziristan belongs to zone D. Panel data for 35 years (1985-2019) across these four districts are used. Yield was the dependent variable while the independent variables were area, maximum temperature, maximum temperature square and rainfall. Hausman test recommended Pooled mean group as best fit. The long run results showed that the maximum-temperature shows positive and significant coefficient while the maximum temperature square have negative and significant coefficient. This resulted that the potato yield found an increase first, when the temperature rises but after exceeding the critical temperature (23 ºC )the yield was found declined. The rainfall was found insignificant, this was due to fluctuations in the rainfall patterns. The highest maximum temperature in Chitral is almost touching the critical value which means the yield is now at maximum level. Further increase in temperature will reduce the yield. However, temperature in district Mansehra and Nowshera has already crossed the critical value of 23 ºC which means that yield of these both districts are declining. Whereas in the district North Waziristan increase in temperature will enhance the yield of potato as this district has not cross the critical value. Policymakers and other concerned departments need to encourage potato growers of District Chitral and North Waziristan to allocate more land for potato as highest maximum temperatures it these districts are 23.73 and 22.48 which is less or equal to critical temperature (23 ºC) so the yield of potato will enhance. Government also needs to concentrate and enhance tree plantation in districts, specially Nowshera and Mansehra to adjust the temperature rise.
| Full Name (In Capital Letters) | farhana Gul |
|---|---|
| farhana | |
| Kurum / University / Affiliated Institution | The Univerdity of Swabi |
| Akademik Ünvan/ Academic Title | Dr. |
| Country | Pakistan |
| Telefon / Phone Number | 00923329280363 |
| Katılım Tipi /Participation Types | Yüz Yüze/ Face to Face |
| Sunum Dili /What Will Be The Presentation Language? | English |
| Where Do You Want to Publish the Full Text? | I will only send summary text |
